AUSTIN, Texas — It’s felt like an exceptionally long January to many, including snow on Jan. 21 followed by strong storm chances and dense fog to close out the month. But now, we’re heading into February.
Over the past few years, the second month of the year has been a source of apprehension across Central Texas, following the February 2021 winter storm. However, this February is looking very different than that fateful month four years ago, at least from a climatological standpoint.
February averages
Before we can mention the likelihoods of above- or below-average temperature or precipitation, it’s important to note where average sits for Camp Mabry, our main reporting site.
For temperature, we average at 56.1 degrees, nearly 4 degrees warmer than January’s average of 52.2. For precipitation, February’s average rainfall sits at 1.89 inches of rain, roughly three quarters of an inch drier than January’s 2.64 inches.
Climate outlooks
With those averages in mind, the Climate Prediction Center has made its forecast for February for Central Texas.
In keeping with the La Niña pattern, we’re tracking weather that’s warmer and drier than average. The chances of any type of wintry precipitation, let alone a repeat of February 2021, are extremely slim to none.
The next few days, including Groundhog Day on Sunday, stay in line with this climate prediction. We’re tracking a shift in our weather pattern from this past week that will bring warm temperatures and drier conditions across Central Texas, with highs in the 70s to near 80 for most of next week.
While these outlooks give a general idea of how February may go, you still should stick with the KVUE Weather Impact Team for all the latest on your forecast.
Your seven-day outlook, which highlights the warmer- and drier-than-average start to February, is below.
